collapse of global trade

June 3, 2017 | Autor: Kirill Khoroshilov | Categoria: Economics, International Trade, Futurology
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I ought to pay your attention to dramatic trends in a global economy
(particularly in Asian countries), which do not receive appropriate
attention even from experts. Please, consider this information properly. 
International trade significantly dropped in follow Asian countries: India,
Singapore, Indonesia, Taiwan and South Korea in 2015. The really sharp drop
was fixed in the Asian biggest ports (Shanghai, Singapore, Hong Kong)
handling of TEU in January 2016. Import significantly decreased in Japan.
Export-import dropped in USA. Such sudden collapse is going to have a large
impact on political stability all around the World. 

Here is fragment of "Economist" article devoted to international trade
problems in 2009 (This text can help to properly estimate the historical
size of ongoing events): 

"WORLD trade, the engine of growth, is sinking at a pace not seen since the
second world war. In projections released on Monday March 23rd, the WTO
predicts that the volume of global trade, which grew by 6% in 2007 and 2%
last year, will fall by a dramatic 9% this year. The drop will be worst for
rich countries, whose exports will contract by 10%, but even emerging and
developing ones, whose exports grew by an average of 15% each year between
2000 and 2008, will see export volumes shrink by 2-3% this year. Before the
release of these latest predictions economists had already expected global
trade to fall by more than it did in 1982, the last time that it
contracted, albeit slightly. Now matters look much worse than they did just
a few months ago". 

Mar 24th 2009 

http://www.economist.com/node/13355727 
 
"FIGURES from the Hong Kong Port Development Council showed the port
handled 1.64 million TEU in January, representing a year-on-year decrease
of 9.6 per cent from 1.82 million TEU in January last year. 
Singapore's Maritime and Port Authority reported a 10.4pc decrease in
container movement in January, having handled 2.49 million TEU compared to
2.78 million TEU in January last year. 
 The Shanghai International Port (Group) Co (SIPG) posted a seven per cent
drop in year-on-year container volume to 2.94 million TEU" 

http://www.simic.net.cn/news_show.php?lan=en&id=178381


the source of information about Japan: 

https://www.jetro.go.jp/en/reports/statistics/
the source of information about USA:
http://www.trade.gov/mas/ian/build/groups/public/@tg_ian/documents/webconten
t/tg_ian_003364.pdf
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